Climate-conflict research: Where now?

Research to date provides no conclusive answer as to whether climate anomalies affect violent conflict. The modal opinion among experts on the subject is a qualified ‘perhaps’; few disagree with the notion that extreme environmental conditions and events can affect people’s inclination for using violence to redress their grievances, but it is increasingly apparent that climate is not related to conflict in a simple and direct manner. In a new essay just published, I discuss some reasons for the scholarly disagreement and offer some thoughts on how the field should progress.

Buhaug, H. 2015. Climate-conflict research: Some reflections on the way forward. WIREs Climate Change 6: 269-275.  [Open Access]

[Update Jan. 2016] This was the most read article in WIREs Climate Change during 2015.

See also a blog post based on the article.